We explore the MPC's decision and unpack the key points for businesses.
The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to raise Bank Rate by 25 basis points (to 4.5%), in line with CBI and market expectations. This marks the 12th consecutive increase in interest rates. Inflation has remained higher than the Bank previously expected and, with the risk that strong domestic price pressures prove to be more persistent, the majority of the MPC judged that another rate hike was needed in this meeting.
The Bank’s latest forecast painted a less gloomy picture of the UK economic outlook. GDP is expected to be flat over H1 2023 and then grow at a moderate pace over the next three years, compared with previous expectations of a shallow recession throughout 2023 and Q1 2024. Inflation is projected to ease considerably from April, mostly due to lower energy prices, but services inflation – which is more domestically-driven – is anticipated to remain