Your quarterly guide to the UK economy; making sense of the key trends and what's driving them.
Quarterly highlights:
UK economy returns to growth in early 2024
GDP rose by 0.2% m/m in January, following a contraction of 0.1% in December. Business surveys suggest that the UK economy is on course to exit its mild “technical recession” in Q1 2024.
Inflation falls to its lowest level since September 2021
CPI inflation fell to 3.4% in February (from 4% in January), driven by large base effects in the food & drink and hospitality categories. Inflation is likely to temporarily fall below the Bank of England’s 2% target