Your quarterly guide to the UK economy; making sense of the key trends and what's driving them.
Quarterly highlights:
UK economy set to pick up steam
Our latest forecast projects that, following 0.1% growth in 2023, UK GDP will increase by 1.0% in 2024. Economic activity strengthens further in 2025, with growth anticipated to hit 1.9%.
Inflation falls to 2.0% in May
CPI inflation eased to 2.0% in May, reflecting lower food inflation. We project that inflation will pick up slightly in late 2024 due to base effects from price rises this time last year. Inflation is set to return to target m