We take a look at the state of the public finances, and the implications for the economy and businesses.
For the second month of the fiscal year, government net borrowing has overshot the OBR forecast. The net debt stock has reached a new 21st century high and as interest rates continue to rise, the relative burden of this debt will continue to grow.
The 2023/24 financial year has begun with significant net borrowing reaching a cumulative £42.9 billion in May – £19.6 billion more than the same point in 2022/23. This is only outstripped by the 2020/21 financial year where cumulative net borrowing reached £100.5 billion by the same point. Compared to 2019/20, net borrowing is £26.5 billion ahead this year highlighting the unprecedented scale of borrowing by the government.
The COVID-19 pandemic and the energy crisis have driven net debt to level not seen since the 1960s, reaching 100.1% of GDP in May. The OBR predicts that it will continue to grow to 103.1% by the end of